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Operator: Good day, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to
Interpublic Group of Companies third-quarter earnings conference call. My
name is Rachel Rachel and I will be your coordinator for today. At this
time, all participants are in a listen-only mode mode. We will be
facilitating a question and answer session towards the end of today's
conference. It at any time during the call you require assistance, press
star followed by zero and a coordinator will be happy to assist you. As a
reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would
now like to turn the presentation over to your host for today's call, Mr.
Philippe Krakowsky, Director of Corporate Communications. Please proceed,
sir.
Philippe Krakowsky: Thank you for joining us this morning.
We've posted our earnings release and a company slide presentation, both
of which will be referenced on this call, on our website at
www.interpublic.com. This morning, we're joined by David Bell, Michael
Roth, and Bob Thompson. We'll begin with prepared remarks from David and
Bob, to be followed by a question and answer session. We plan to complete
the call by market open at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time. During this call, we
will refer to forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial data.
Forward-looking statements about the Company are subject to uncertainties
referenced in the cautionary statement that's included in our earnings
release and in the slide presentation, in further detail in our annual
report on form 10-K and in other filings with the SEC. We also refer you
to the press release and slide presentation for definitions, explanations
and reconciliations of non-GAAP financial data. At this point, I'd like to
turn the conference over to David Bell.
David Bell: Thank you, Philippe. Good morning, and thank you
for joining us. At the completion of this quarter, our turn-around time
frame has nine to 21 months remaining. As we've said since the beginning,
turn-arounds can be messy and are often unpredictable in the short-term.
And that is true in this company, that built itself out in the late
nineties by acquisitions and by merging dozens of units in order to create
scale at a number of its growing (phonetic) networks. Our results this
quarter are decidedly mixed. We're still moving in the right turn-around
direction, but in keeping with our past comments, we've said that progress
would not always be linear. That said, progress was again apparent in
organic revenue, which improved sequentially for the 6th consecutive
quarter. Organic growth in the quarter was 1.8% and organic revenue before
reclassifications, which appears to be the closest comparable metric to
the calculation performed by our competitors, increased 4.3% in the
quarter. On the margin side, there were two noteworthy developments.
First, the underlying improvement in office and general expense. We
previously outlined for you the four buckets of cost opportunity that
we're attacking through corporate-wide initiatives. They require initial
investment and will yield increased benefits at the latter part of the
turn-around period and beyond. The improvement in office in general this
quarter was reflective of some early success in the implementation of our
new corporate real estate strategy. I'm also encouraged by the fact, as
you can see on the operating margin analysis provided in our press release
and presentation deck, our underlying operating margin showed progress in
both the quarter and year to date. On the talent front, I'd call attention
to two important developments. As anticipated, Michael Roth is proving to
be an extremely capable and dedicated partner, and his presence will
increasingly be felt on strategic operational and financial issues. He
will also free me to devote more attention to addressing client growth and
working with some of our operating unit management on their strategy
issues and client satisfaction. I also plan on spending more of my time on
business development, and we're currently working on a number of large,
exciting IPG to led (phonetic) below-the-radar opportunities that we hope
to be able to share with you in the coming months. Earlier this week, we
also announced that David Thomas agreed to join our board. David is a very
talented global and financially astute executive who will be helpful as we
continue to improve the information infrastructure across our company.
He's also well-regarded and well-connected in technology and healthcare,
both of which of which are areas of focus of growth by our various
companies. Interpublic's balance sheet was stronger in the third quarter
of this year than the comparable period a year-ago. We did take a number
of balance sheet actions in the quarter that bear both mention and
explanation. I will go through the mechanics of what took place in detail,
but I'd like to make a few general comments. Annually as required by FAS
142, and with the help of Ernst and Young, we perform an impairment review
in the third quarter. The good will impairment charges we've announced
stem from that review and our further manifestation of an aggressive
acquisition venture in the nineties. The multiples occurred at that time,
certainly those paid by Interpublic, were a historic high. The multiples
used for valuation testing since then have come way down. And many
elements factor into the equation, including the need to account for other
intangibles that were not separately valued prior to FAS 142, and also the
decline of roughly 20% in the Interpublic stock price in the last quarter.
The result is that an application of the accounting standard means that a
small change in valuation can trigger a large goodwill writedown, and that
is what happened at both the partnership and CMG. Accounting is often a
larger indicator of business performance. And what I mean by that is that
the good will associated with companies acquired at the height of the the
market would be difficult to support after a recession that saw business
moderate significantly and saw valuation multiples shrink dramatically by
as much as 15% to 20% in the past year alone, much of it in the last
quarter. Which is not to say that we don't need improvement in performance
at low, as we've indicated to you on a number of recent earnings calls. We
do, and as many of you know, an aggressive new management team has just
taken a range at low as of this week. That is not to say that there isn't
work left to be done, pulling the performance of future brand in
GolinHarris up to the level of their sister, CMG Agencies, or for
Shandwick and Jack Morton. It's interesting, and perhaps relevant to note
that Octagon, which underwent a similar revenue employment (phonetic) in
the third quarter of 2003, has seen improved performance this year and is
really coming into its own as a powerful brand for Interpublic. Our
performance in continental Europe this past quarter showed improvement
relative to recent results, and we must drive further improvement,
particularly in the important U.K. market, which will be a major focus of
our plan to take the successful organic growth initiative to the next
level by reaction and not collaboration in business development programs
in Europe. Another area we are focused on is media. Our media assets are
strong and we have the critical mass required to be successful in this key
arena. We were the first agency group to move toward media consolidation,
but have since lost some of the momentum and given up some of our position
at the top of the industry. We continue, however, to lead in the
all-important entertainment sector. Over the past three months our senior
media executives and business unit leaders have been working together to
define a new vision for the Interpublic media offering, which we believe
would be in a position to implement by the year end. Whitcomb and Bellum
(phonetic) had a strong third quarter. McCann-Erickson, MRM and the major
U.S. independents have been growing. Most of the head count increase you
will have noted in our release is attributable to those that have been
winning business and growing assignments with existing clients. I hope
I've provided some context with which to assess what our middle view
(phonetic)of complicated results this morning, and now I'd like to turn
things over to our Chief Financial Officer, Bob Thompson, who will walk us
through the particulars.
Robert Thompson: Thank you, David. Good morning everyone.
I'd like to remind everyone that we've posted a presentation deck on our
website that I will be referring to. Reported earnings per share were a
loss of $1.40 compared to a loss of $0.85 in last year's third-quarter. As
David said, we had a number of moving pieces in the third quarter. On
slide two, we've highlighted the most significant of those. First, charges
in the quarter totaling $584 million, predominantly noncash, which I will
be detailing for you shortly. Second, a sustained improvement in organic
revenue, which was up 1.8%. Third, higher employee incentive expense,
principally due to a change in our annual plan, that pulled forward some
expense recognition from the fourth to the third-quarter when compared to
last year. Fourth, while office and general expenses were up, as reported
for the last year, the increase was mainly due to foreign exchange effects
and to the gross of (phonetic) plus certain out-of-pocket expenses. On a
comparable basis, excluding those effects, as well as business
dispositions, O&G expenses were down 6% from last year. Let me now
turn to the charges in order to create clarity for the operating review
that will follow. No one here, believe me, is pleased to see charges of
this magnitude. But by way of economic significance, I would highlight the
charges to goodwill, the deferred tax asset allowance, and the investment
impairment are all noncash items. And we have received the necessary
amendments from our bank group, and with respect to good will-- noncash
goodwill writedowns of $410 at The Partnership and $132 million of CMG,
and the much smaller writedown at Howard Merrell, let me add to David's
remarks. From a process standpoint, we do comprehensive testing of good
will annually in the third-quarter as required by FAS 142. We do so in
conjunction with an an external consultant. In that process, there are
three factors that are considered: recent past operating results, the
share price of Interpublic, and industry valuation margins, which have
declined in the past year, to say nothing of the late 1990s. Interpublic's
stock price in particular declined roughly 20% in the third quarter. We've
experienced an earnings decline at low. Many of the acquisitions made
within The Partnership and within CMG were made in the late '90s and in
2000, when valuations were very high. It's worth noting that for
businesses acquired before the adoption of FAS 142, the application of the
standard in the event of business impairment can result in a good will
impairment charge that is several orders of magnitude higher than the
business impairment. That is what has taken place for both The Partnership
and CMG, and you'll note in the first page of the appendix in our deck,
we've provided an illustrative example of those effects. Secondly, we
established a valuation allowance in the amount of $73 million against
certain non-U.S. deferred tax assets, principally in the U.K., in
accordance with the provisions of FAS 109. So while we established an
allowance against it in accordance with U.S. GAAP, the asset remains
available for us to utilize in the future when the underlying operations
return to sustainable profitability. Third, the charge of $33.6 million
related to Motor Sports, as we previously indicated we would d take in the
second half of this year. The charge positions us to complete the
strategic goal of exiting our ownership and sponsorship of Motor Sports
commitments. That business had an operating loss of $210 million in 2002,
and over $100 million in 2003. Fourth, a charge in the amount of $31
million related to our stake in Springer and Jacoby, a German advertising
agency which has experienced some softness in its business of late.
Turning to the income statement, reported revenues were up 6.3%, excluding
the impact of currency, leg (phonetic) dispositions, and reclassified
out-of-pocket amounts, organic revenue was up 1.8%. As you can see on
slide 6, this was our sixth consecutive quarter of improved organic
growth. You will recall that we calculate organic revenue growth
conservatively. In addition to removing the currency effect, we strip out
acquisitions and divestitures entirely and remove from the calculation
revenue that is simply due to grossed-up out-of-pocket amounts.
Geographically, Asia and the United States led our organic growth, up 3.9%
and 3.2%, respectively. Europe was essentially flat. Moving on, salaries
and related expenses were up 14%, or $114 million over the third quarter
of 2003 as reported. The change in exchange rates accounted for
approximately 28% of the year-over-year increase. Changes to our incentive
plans led to earlier recognition of incentive expenses this year compared
to last year. Incentive expense increased by $45 million on a constant
currency basis as a result of the change. All things being equal, we would
expect the increase in incentive compensation in this quarter to be
followed by a similar decrease in the fourth quarter. As you can see on
slide 8, the two items I just named comprise more than 60% of the
increase. We incurred higher severance expense compared to last year,
which added nearly $9 million to the comparison, again on a constant
currency basis. Cost for freelancers supporting recent new business wins
cost us $8 million more than a year-ago, again, in constant currency. At
quarter end, we were net up about 700 employees from a year-ago, chiefly
due to business wins at McCann and a domestic acquisition. Although office
and general expenses on slide nine were up 2.2%, the increase was
attributable of currency exchange, currency changes and to grossed-up
out-of-pocket expenses. Adjusting for these factors, as well as from net
dispositions, O&G fell 6.2% from a year ago. Lower occupancy costs,
including lower G&A expense, a result of our restructuring actions,
contributed to the reduction. As we said would be the case last quarter,
professional fees were higher than last year due to our Sarbanes-Oxley
efforts, our shared service initiatives and other professional fees.
Spending on Sarbanes was lower than in the second quarter. Many of our
efforts moved from an initial round of documenting and testing worldwide,
which requires a physical presence in hundreds of locations around the
world, to evaluating the results of those tests, which is a more
centralized and less costly activity. Management and our independent
auditors will be doing most of the testing in the fourth quarter of '04
and the first quarter of '05. And, as a result, related fees will be
higher during that period. Shared service fees were up approximately at
the rate of increase in the second quarter and add 40 basis points of
margin pressure from a year ago. Other professional fees were higher in
the quarter, but the related projects generally have a shorter life.
Excluding charges from both this year and last year, operating margin in
the third quarter was 4.3%, compared to 7.7% a year ago. Year to date, the
comparison is 6.2 compared to 7.0. Slide ten shows the impact in operating
margin of the changes in incentive timing, professional fees, currency
exchange rates, and grossed-up out-of-pocket amounts. As you can see, for
example, the increase in incentive accrual cost $260 margin points in the
quarter compared to a year ago, and 120 basis points for the nine months.
The impact of higher professional fees was 90 basis points in the quarter
and 120 basis points for the nine months. Our full income statement
appears on slide 11. I've spoken to the lines comprising operating income.
Interest expense was $39.8 million, an improvement of about $4 million
from last year, due to December 2003 refinancing. Interest income was up
slightly, due to higher investment cash balances during the quarter. The
tax provision of $98.6 million refers the deferred asset allowances of $73
million. The tax provision was also affected because the good will charges
are non-deductible, and because losses in international markets do not
generate benefits at the U.S. rate. We had a small amount of income from
discontinued operations, which was related to the sale of MFO. On slide
13, we break out the impact of our Motor Sports business on results in the
quarter. As you can see, revenue was down $4.4 million, while operating
income, excluding charges, improved from a loss of $17.3 million last year
to $700,000 this year. The next slide reflects key balance sheet items.
Both total debt and net debt are down from a year ago. Net debt was $825
million at quarter end, down approximately $1 billion from a year ago.
Debt as a percent of capital is 53%, up from the beginning of the year.
This is chiefly as a result of the charges taken during the quarter. On
slide 15, our liquidity position remains strong and we continue to manage
to a conservative cash balance. As our October of '05 debt maturity
approaches, our financial strength gives us a range of possibilities and
we're in the process of annualizing those alternatives. This quarter's
noncash charges do affect the covenants of our revolving credit facility,
but as I mentioned earlier, we have already attained amendments from our
bank group. One note on the potential future impact from EITF 0408, which
is accounting for contingent convertible debt. This change will add 65
million shares to our calculation of earnings per share when it is not
dilutive. On slide 16, we have spoken with you in the past about our
financial control challenges in a highly centralized company. The
mediation efforts to address our company's pre-existing material control
weakness and achieve 404 certification continue. In the course of those
efforts, we've identified new areas of control weakness during the third
quarter in the areas listed on the slide. Revenue recognition policy
application, real estate lease expenditure recognition and documentation
and control of financial results. These are being addressed by significant
work being done internally to support financial disclosure and the
integrity of our public filings, including 404 certification, letters from
reporting units, pro-rating centralized monitoring and control over
financial reporting, and continuing to upgrade our financial staff across
all operating units. At the same time, considerable work remains to be
done in order to assess financial controls as required by Section 404. At
this point, can't offer assurances with our work and the work of our
auditors to assess the control inbound (phonetic) that can be completed
within the frame required by Sarbanes. However, absent a change in the
rules and with the expanded scope of our audit efforts with PWC, we fully
expect to receive an unqualified opinion on our financial statements. We
appreciate that ours is a complicated story. Having been involved in a
number of turn-arounds, I know this is the nature of the beast. We'll
continue to keep you posted on our progress. And with that, I'll turn it
back to David.
David Bell: Thank you, Bob. Obviously these results are
complicated, but we are making real progress in organic revenue,
structural cost take-out, underlying margins, as well as on other key
turn-around metrics. So now, let's open it up for some questions.
Operator: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, if you wish
to ask a question, press key star one on your touchtone phone. If you wish
to withdraw it, press star two. Please key star one on your touchtone
telephone. Your first question comes from the line of Michael Nathansen
(phonetic) of Bernstein.
Michael Nathansen: Good morning, thank you. Bob, I wonder if
you can explain further the incentive comp accrual issue, and why the
third-quarter event and you go away in the fourth-quarter, is the first
question. Then I have two more.
Robert Thompson: Sure. In 2004, we changed our incentive
plan to a more formula-based approach than from previous years. And under
the accounting rules, that allows you to more rateably (phonetic) accrue
your incentives across the year. In previous years, we accrued virtually
all our incentives during the fourth quarter. This year, because of that
change, we accrued much more in the third quarter, but we'll have a
correspondably rare amount to accrue in the fourth quarter versus last
year. So, on a full-year basis, incentives will be higher by a little bit,
but certainly not of the magnitude that you would see in the third
quarter, where it increased by some $35 million.
Michael Nathansen: It doesn't represent a a structural
change in--
David Bell: No, no, no, no, no. No. It's a timing thing.
Michael Nathansen: Okay, and that's the first one. The
second one was on cash, I know a lot-- some of the cash could be tied to
working capital issues. People have been asking over the past few months,
how much of the cash on the books is actually accessible to IPG for debt
repayment or other things?
David Bell: I'll let Ellen Johnson, our treasurer, answer
that one.
Ellen Johnson: Well, in the U.S. --(inaudible) currently
$800 million of cash.
Michael Nathansen: And again, that's accessible -- that is
something you can actually (inaudible)-- is not tied up in working
capital?
Ellen Johnson: That's correct.
Michael Nathansen: Okay. And the last one would be to David.
You've made mention of problems, issues of changing management in Lowe,
potentially Media being analyzed for changes. One of the things we wonder
is will there be further restructuring charges down the road as
managements need to reassess their businesses? And could you go into a bit
of depth of why you think you've lost your leadership in media and what
you can do to change it?
David Bell: Yeah. We're not anticipating at this juncture
additional restructuring charges as we move against these business. The
principle Lowe issue will be for this management team to take the strength
that is there, both in terms of clients and work, and take it to the next
level with compelling both story and capabilities, which is what they're
very focused on. In Media, as you will recall, we announced Magna First
(phonetic), which was the first aggregated negotiating play. As a number
of our competitors have further centralized their media offering, they
have invested aggregately in some tools and analytics that we have been
doing separately. And clearly, as we move forward, our objective is to
take the best of both our media units and take that to the next level, as
well as a very real focus on what we believe to be our lead in the
entertainment area, which we will continue to invest in going forward. So
that's how we see it, as a natural evolution of the game that we
started.
Michael Nathansen: Okay. Thank you.
Operator: Thank you, sir. Your next question comes from line
of Brian Shipman of UBS.
Brian Shipman: Thanks, good morning. Could you discuss
Europe a little more? You mentioned Europe was flat. But could you
specifically discuss the outlook for profitability in Europe and what your
expectations are there? Thank you.
David Bell: Yeah. Europe is made up of some moving pieces.
McCann has returned a profitability in Europe, and we see that that trend
will continue. You know that Lowe's largest operations are in Europe, and
that's subject to the new management change and further turning
around.
Brian Shipman: And could you discuss the timing of your
expectations for profitability? Do you --
Robert Thompson: Yeah, we would, you know, again we're in
the midst of our turn-around. We've got nine to 21 months to go, and we
would expect that our European operations would return to profitability
within that time.
David Bell: Yeah, and I think, as you remember, Brian, we
have made significant changes in management in the U.K., which is a major
part of our European picture. We've changed management at all of our big
units, McCann, Phitco and Belding (phonetic), Lowe, as well as Weber
Shandwick. A number of those units are making decided progress on that
change. And it's early days, but we're seeing the beginning of that change
taking place in at least two and a half of the units.
Brian Shipman: In a normal situation with Europe margins
where you'd expect them to be, and U.S. margins where you'd expect them to
be, can you say what you would expect a normalized tax rate to then
be?
David Bell: We haven't done that. All we have said thus far
is that, obviously, we have a number of tax credits that we anticipate
using, and that it will be a bumpy look as we look at our tax rate through
the turn-around as a result of that. But we haven't given further guidance
on exactly how that might play out.
Brian Shipman: Thank you, David.
Operator: Thank you, sir. Your next question comes from the
line of Alexia Quadrani of Bear Stearns.
Alexia Quadrani: Good morning. You mentioned, obviously, the
earnings decline at Lowe. It would be helpful if you could maybe go
through your other major units and sort of give us more color of whether
or not you're still seeing earnings declines at them, if they're stable or
if you believe the earnings there are improving. And along those lines,
really go through where you are maybe on the cost-cutting. You know, which
businesses are you still restructuring, laying off people, which
businesses are you more in sort of the building-up mode?
David Bell: Yeah. We'll let Bob do that, Alexia. We're not
going to provide you as much as you'd like, but we'll give you as much as
we can.
Robert Thompson: Yeah. I would say that while we don't break
out financial results for each one of our agencies, most of them are
clearly along their on their turn-around path. With respect to, you know,
we've mentioned Lowe and the need to do more there. But on balance, we
remain confident that we will achieve our margin targets within the
turn-around period.
Alexia Quadrani: Would it be fair to say that, with a few
expectations, most of your agencies are at least stable, if not
improving?
Robert Thompson: I think that's fair to say.
David Bell: Yes.
Alexia Quadrani: And then, a couple of other questions. On
the organic growth we saw in the quarter, did you benefit at all from
Olympic spending in the quarter and would we expect to see continued
acceleration of organic growth in the fourth quarter?
David Bell: I think as we've said, that during the course of
the turn-around, we'll get back to peer group and that it may not be
linear, even though it has been for six quarters. There was some Olympic
benefit, but I don't think that the Olympic benefit is something you
should factor out of the fourth-quarter. Whether or not that continue is
something that, obviously, we're hopeful will happen in the
fourth-quarter, but we haven't given guidance on it
Alexia Quadrani: Just a follow-up on the question earlier
about the incentive accruals. The third-quarter, I think you said the
number was $35 million in the third-quarter. Would we expect to see, then,
$35 million less in the fourth-quarter? Is that what you were
suggesting?
David Bell: Directionally, that's correct.
Alexia Quadrani: Okay. And, just lastly, on your changes in
the media business, do we expect to hear of some management changes
there?
Robert Thompson: I think you will expect to see some
management additions as we invest in that strong asset for the future.
Alexia Quadrani: Thank you.
Operator: Thank you, ma'am. Your next question comes from
the line of Fred Searby of J.P. Morgan.
Fred Searby: Yes, thank you. Just one question. I guess it
was partially explained. The real estate was down 6% if you backed out FX.
But can you give us sense where you are in your-- specifically on, you
know, some of these metrics like square-foot-per -employee and how much
you really-- where we should expect you to be in the next six months on
the real estate? Having visited your offices, we know it's for real, and I
just wondered -- I thought you might be able to do a little bit more on
that side.
David Bell: I think that, just in terms of context-- and
I'll let Bob respond as to kind of where we are in the progress. But we've
said that we had started at 325 and our objective is to go between 225 and
250 during the course of the turn-around. That it would take five years.
So, Bob you might give them a little update on where we are.
Robert Thompson: Yeah. As we've said, our real estate
objective is to take us from 325 square feet per employee at the beginning
of the year to 225 to 250 feet per employee within five years. We are
pleased with the progress we have made. We are now down to 299 feet per
employee. We've reduced vacant space in the U.S. by a third in just nine
months. We've developed a master plan for all of our major markets and
we've completed consolidations in San Francisco, Singapore and Sidney. So
we are very pleased with our efforts.
David Bell: We might add, as you remember, Fred, that the
offices that we're moving our people into are excellent offices that, for
the most part, are getting rave reviews as opposed to our professionals
feeling that they're being disadvantaged.
Fred Searby: Okay, thank you.
Operator: Thank you. Your next question comes from the line
of Mike Russell of Morgan Stanley.
Michael Russel: Thank you. Couple of things. Number one, the
700 employees, year over year that's up 700. Even subsequently, I think
it's up 750. Is that a right number to have for the year end? Do you think
that we'll add sequentially to that number? Just give us an idea of head
count, because that is probably the biggest spike that we've seen in a
long time from you guys.
David Bell: The head count is up in areas where we're
experiencing new business wins in organic volume growth. The largest part
of increase is at McCann, which is what you would expect. We also did an
acquisition at the beginning of the year and that added more than 100
people to our roster. I expect that we'll add head count modestly in the
fourth-quarter as we experience to modest organic growth.
Robert Thompson: Michael, as well, the head count is coming
in these business units that are experiencing organic growth. The one
thing worth mentioning, as we consolidate the Microsoft through the line
work in MRM and the size and scope of that is requiring head count, and
that's within the world group as well.
Michael Russel: And then when you benchmark organic growth,
are you doing it as the 1.8%? Because the reclassification you would think
the higher number is more appropriate. It's one of those tough situations
to assess, because when you talk to the other companies they don't seem to
have as much from the reclassification.
David Bell: One of the things that's difficult to assess,
it's difficult for us to do that. What we try to do is to disclose it both
ways at 1.8 and with the reclassification so you can have as much
information as you need to make it. And I think either way you look at it,
our view is that it's improving.
Michael Russel: And I was wondering on the indentures you
mentioned you might have some dilution. Is there a way you can do
amendments on the indentures?
David Bell: We're looking at that right now.
Michael Russel: And you mentioned that the professional fees
were, I understood the fourth-quarter and the first quarter, the fees
would be higher than in the third-quarter or is that the margin impact
would be different? Can you clarify a little bit more what we should be
pencilling in for professional fees for an absolute dollar basis for the
next two quarters?
David Bell: I don't want to give absolute guidance on dollar
amounts. What I will say is the, if you look at the Sarbanes-Oxley work
that we are going to do that our external advisors are going to do and
independent auditors are going to do, the bulk of that work happens in the
fourth and the first quarters. So what I would do is have a look at our
spending over the past couple of quarters and then ramp that up
accordingly.
Michael Russel: And how much of the professional fees were
Sarbanes-Oxley this quarter?
David Bell: Hang on. As he's talking, it's sometimes
difficult, because as you will recall, we have two different advisors, one
is Sarbanes-Oxley is now, as well as other advisors that are working with
us in preparation.
Michael Russel: Maybe as he looks, David, are you seeing it
more from your current stable of clients or from new wins? Because the new
-- I guess we've seen more headlines on the losses vis-a-vis, it's kind of
hard to know what the composition is.
David Bell: One bit of color on that that we have some fun
with, is somehow since we're in a turn-around under the HALOGEN lights,
the head lines read, IPG loses. We don't read that. -- we don't read that
WPP loses to Interpublic. So with that as context, I think what we're
seeing in terms of the new business from our standpoint is we're seeing
gratifying kind of progress on the organic growth initiative as we move to
change the culture. I think we're seeing a lot of activity on the conquest
kind of front. We're not satisfied with our our closure rate, but we're
pleased with the pipeline and the amount of activity. As you saw in the
release, there are a number of high profile kinds of wins and we believe
there will be more to come. Yeah. To answer your question on professional
fees. The increased about $15 million in the quarter. Which a third was
Sarbanes-Oxley and others was shared service.
Michael Russel: Increase from Q2?
Robert Thompson: No, increase from last year.
Operator: Next question comes from Lauren Fine of Merrill
Lynch.
Lauren Fine: Hi, there. Couple of quick questions. I'm
wondering on motor sports, , at one point you said cost 45 million to
exit, so should we expect 11, 12 million in the fourth-quarter? And then
I'm wondering if you could an organic revenue, give us a sense of major
brands, and if you're not prepared to do that, tell us what the organic
revenue was, excluding Lowe, if that was one of the things that continues
to weigh heavy on it. Final area, if you could comment on the component of
free cash versus what it was a year-ago. Thanks.
David Bell: Okay. Let me, while they're doing that, let me
comment a little bit on our business units. We saw in the quarter some
nice organic growth as you would expect from McCann and some of their
units. We also saw some organic growth coming back in some of the PR
units. We saw Foote Cone & Belding had good growth. We also saw good
organic growth from the CRN sector, collateral , particularly draft in the
U.S.. And we also saw amazing organic growth in the quarter from Deutsche.
Okay. I think we're still looking for the number.
Robert Thompson: Yeah. The cash payment was 49 million. The
third-quarter related charge was 33. We had accrued part of that
previously. So you ought not expect further charges in relations to motor
sports in the fourth-quarter. With respect to the cash flow, that is
currently being analyzed and prepared, so we'll have to defer that
question.
Lauren Fine: Thank you.
Operator: Thank you, ma'am. Your next questions comes from
Jason Helstein with CIBC World Markets.
Jason Halstein: Can you go into more color the change in
incentive change change how that changed, who is sounded like to
accelerate spending there? And a second question on the international
growth, or the or international organic revenue in the quarter, and how
that was perhaps impacted by the Olympics. Thanks
David Bell: We adopted a plan more formula based. Previous
years what would happen the results would come in for the year. We would
be reviewed by the compensation committee of the board of directors and
the incentives set at that time. Right now it's more formula based. I
would like to point out these are not incentives that have been paid, have
been accrued. They're also based on high performing units with rates that
were cleared in advance which is what triggers the accounting and the
formula. So these are our best performing business units for which we have
accrued incentive payments. Bob, do you want to talk about the organic and
impact of the h Olympics?
Robert Thompson: Yeah. Organic growth international basis
was .2%. Again, a sequential improvement from the second quarter and the
first quarter. It was helped by performance of Morton, that was a minor
increase. It would be about flat.
David Bell: Yes, we had a number of companies working on the
Olympics, but the overall impact of that is not something to worry about
in terms of looking at the trend.
Jason Halstein: Okay. Just to go back to the incentive
again, so this is basically -- when were those formulas set? Can you give
me a historical point in time when they were set?
David Bell: Set during the budgeting process for the '04
calendar year, the hurdle rates were established then. Because they are
form formula based, that results in the accounting change that we've
discussed.
Jason Halstein: Would any of that have to do with a catchup
for example, may have been under accrued --. Absolutely not.
David Bell: No, it does not. Just the accounting rules
related to how to accrue those given the incentive plans and structure.
2003 bonuses that were paid and 2004 were fuel fully accrued in 2003.
Jason Halstein: Was this a catchup quarter for the first two
quarters of this year?
David Bell: Not at all.
Jason Halstein: Thank you.
David Bell: We had better visibility much earnings
internally in the third-quarter.
Jason Halstein: Thank you.
Operator: Thank you, sir. As a reminder, ladies and
gentlemen, to ask a question at this time, please key star one on your
touchtone telephone. Your next question comes from the line of Stephen
Barlow of Prudential.
Stephen Barlow: I have us cost for 2005 and '06 roll out, et
cetera, of that initiative and secondly, with the charges that you took,
you said you got relief from the banks, any cost to that relief in terms
of a payment to them and/or interest rates going up?
David Bell: First of all, on the answer to your last
question, the answer is no, there is no incremental cost on that
whatsoever. Let me give you a context on shared services and I'll ask Bob
to talk about the cost. As you know, what we're engaged outed Interpublic
is putting the infrastructure. Shared service is a major part of that, as
we seek to con sol consolidate back room operations. We currently have a
shared service center in the U.S. that's processing about a third of our
volume. We're in the process of converting that to an SAP environment, the
accounting suite only, which we have teams of people comfortable doing.
That will happen in '05 to give us opportunity in the back half of '05 to
place all of our volume on that shared service platform. We're doing work
in the U.K. similarly where we're using legacy systems shared services.
That will be an SAP conversion in the first half of '05 which will move us
from a number of touch points, far to many, to a single kind of controlled
environment. We'll then use that learning and move forward into the major
markets of France, Germany, et cetera, with the common platform and back
room for the future on those key services. Bob, you might talk about the
costs associated with that conversion.
Robert Thompson: Yeah. We discussed the overall level of
professional fees, and the work attendant to shared service will continue
as David said, in the fourth-quarter of '04 and during the first half of
'05. Once those centers are up and operational, then you will see a
decline in the amount of professional fees, because the development work
will have been done. There will be -- there will still be some as we move
volume into the centers, but it will be reduced significantly. At that
point when we're completed with those two conversions, we'll have well owe
half of the Interpublic volume flowing through those and moving on the
rest.
David Bell: Are there any other questions?
Operator: Thank you, Mr. Barlow. Your next question comes
from the line of Troy of William Blair and Company.
Troy Blair: Thank you, good morning. Want to try to make
sure I understand some of the moving parts here. First on the organic
increases on salaries, I think when you strip out the incentive, foreign
exchange and severance, that puts you about 4.7% increase versus organic,
is that accurate, and if so, can you comment on why salaries is growing
faster than organic revenue?
David Bell: If -- what chart, Gary -- if you go to page
eight of the deck, we break out the increase into its components, okay?
What we have is a total increase of $114 million, of which 32 is currency,
35 is incentives, severance is nine, and freelancers are eight. Leaving a
basin crease of about $31 million. $31 million increase as a percentage of
total salaries, would be about 3%, a little higher than that. So, you
know, that represents the impact of the head count increases that we
talked about to support our areas of growth, as well as annual salary
increases.
Troy Blair: Can you comment on why that's growing faster,
though, than the organic growth? Why would you not include freelance in
the cost?
David Bell: The reason is that, you know, as we win
business, you know, we have to step up ahead of the flow of revenue. So
you're always going to have a little bit of a leading edge to your head
count in salaries.
Troy Blair: And the reason you're growing those expenses
faster than organic growth?
David Bell: Again, if I win Microsoft business, for example,
and, you know, I have to staff up now to start preparing for it.
Troy Blair: So in an inflationary or a growth environment,
you would expect to see salaries and benefiting growing faster than
organic revenue?
David Bell: I beg your pardon?
Troy Blair: Where you're winning new business you would
expect to see salaries grow faster than organic growth?
David Bell: Not necessarily. It depends on kind of the leads
and lags of new business. You can have instances are organic growth is say
3% and your salaries are 2.5%, just because the way the timing works.
Troy Blair: I guess I'm --
David Bell: It's not necessarily 100% linear
relationship
Troy Blair: What do we see a utilization improvement zero on
on the benefit side.
David Bell: As we continue to improve organic performance
you're going to see that coming. It depend on the business that's won, as
well. Some are won formula that's paid based on people that are added to
services. Sometimes it's paid based upon the people that you currently
have. So the utilization rate of people can vary depending upon the
particular types of wins. As we indicated as well in that 700 number of
new employees we an acquisition, and that acquisition number also plays
into the total salary costs. Exactly. And that acquisition would not be
included in the calculation of organic revenue.
Troy Blair: Okay.
David Bell: Because we don't include acquisitions as you
will recall, there were a significant number of people of the 700 from
that acquisition.
Troy Blair: So it might be the case that utilization
actually did improve in the quarter, when you cut through all of it?
David Bell: Yes, it's possible. We haven't done the
calculation. We certainly could do it looking at those acquisition
numbers. I think what's more important is to look directionally at what
we're doing with the cost takeout. If you look at the office and general
expense line, if you're successful in taking square feet per employee,
that's somewhere in the 20% range of recollection. Reduction. How much
would we see? Would we see a full 20% reduction or would it be less than
that or is there some changes might be more savings as you get better
deals on your office space?
Troy Blair: Thanks.
David Bell: Well, I guess what I would point out to you that
these real estate actions that we're taking kind of a longer life than the
turn-around period. What we've said is we would accomplish this within a
five year time frame. So the savings, you're going to see over that period
in a more gradual fashion than other components of the turn around
program.
Troy Blair: In five years might we see office and general as
a percentage of revenue down 20%?
David Bell: Hard to predict what the other components are,
but clearly in office and general we're also working on the other
initiatives and the turn-around. Bob, you might give color whether you
think that's reasonable.
Robert Thompson: Yeah. When we look at the four planks of
our turn-around, those being financial shared services, IT consolidation,
centralized pre- consumer, the safes will be enough to enable us to get to
our stated goal of 12% to 15% operating margin. the majority of those come
in the '02 line.
David Bell: I think we have time for one or two more
questions,
Operator: Thank you, sir. Next question comes from a
follow-up from Lauren Fine.
Lauren Fine: I hate to ask this question, but I feel really
stupid. If you were to add back the good will charges on an after-tax
basis, could you give us a sense of what the recurring earnings figure was
in the quarter?
David Bell: Well, first off -- First of all, you're not
stupid, Lauren. the good will charges are not tax deductible. So they flow
dollar per dollar through the P&L. If you go and add back the charges,
you'll get to the number you're looking for.
Lauren Fine: You don't happen to know it off hand, do
you?
David Bell: We got the releases sort of late, so I tell you
what we can do, Jerry is here, Lauren, and heel work on it. No, we can do
it, as you know the release came out late and I wouldn't want to suggest I
actually had a chance to read it. Anyway, thank you. Bob, can I clarify?
You mentioned reducing real estate by a third. Is that the excess real
estate that's been reduced by a third or the total?
Robert Thompson: No, vacancy. To your first question, we
reported operating loss of $420 million. If you add back the charges, and
if you go to the release, the schedule is provided on page 13, the total
charges were 485 million, which gives us an operating income ex charges of
65 million.
Lauren Fine: Thank you. You're welcome.
Operator: At this time there are no further questions.
Philippe Krakowsky: Okay. We thank you for joining us.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your
participation in today's call. This does conclude your presentation and
you may now disconnect. Have a great day. |
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